After a year of silence, Biden and President Xi face off in San Francisco

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SAN FRANCISCO – After a year marked by silence and growing global tensions, President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to hold a pivotal meeting in San Francisco. This encounter, taking place during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders’ meeting, is not just a routine diplomatic engagement. It is a strategic necessity at a time when global conflicts and crises are intensifying.

The Urgency of Dialogue

The world’s two largest military powers, the United States and China have experienced strained relations, notably exemplified by Beijing’s suspension of a crucial military communication channel. This breakdown in direct communication was sharply felt during the incident of a Chinese spy balloon traversing U.S. airspace. The Biden administration, recognizing the gravity of this disconnection, is vigorously advocating for the re-establishment of this hotline to prevent escalation of conflicts.

High Stakes on Global Issues

From the ongoing war in Ukraine to the increasing tensions in the Taiwan Strait, the global stage is fraught with conflicts that demand careful navigation by major powers. The U.S. is particularly focused on deterring Chinese aggression toward Taiwan, a democratically governed island that Beijing considers part of its territory. Amid these tensions, Biden is expected to press Xi on non-interference in Taiwan’s upcoming elections.

Biden’s Diplomatic Approach

The Biden administration emphasizes “intense diplomacy” as a cornerstone of its strategy with China. This approach is aimed at preventing misunderstandings and ensuring that competition does not escalate into military conflict. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, have made visits to Beijing, signaling a commitment to open dialogue.

Republican Critique and Strategic Deterrence

Republicans, however, view the administration’s diplomatic efforts with skepticism. They advocate for a more robust deterrence strategy, emphasizing military support for Taiwan and sanctions. This perspective underscores the delicate balance Biden must maintain between diplomacy and the necessary display of strength.

The Taiwan Question and Beyond

Biden’s challenge extends to finding common ground on issues like fentanyl trafficking, while also addressing China’s increasing military activities near Taiwan. The U.S. maintains a policy of strategic ambiguity regarding Taiwan, yet Biden has hinted at a willingness to intervene militarily if necessary.

Reducing the Risk of Conflict

As global dynamics evolve, the Biden-Xi meeting is more than just a diplomatic formality. It is a critical step towards mitigating the risk of conflict, keeping communication channels open, and navigating the complex web of global issues. While no major breakthroughs are expected, this meeting is an opportunity to stabilize a relationship that significantly influences global peace and stability.

A Moment of Reckoning

With China facing its own economic challenges and the U.S. imposing restrictions on advanced technology exports, the meeting in San Francisco is not just a test of diplomatic acumen but also a reflection of the changing global order. As Biden and Xi prepare to meet, the world watches, hoping for a positive shift toward stability and constructive engagement.